Senator Welch Hears From Vermont Chamber and Members on Potential Tariffs

Senator Welch Hears From Vermont Chamber and Members on Potential Tariffs

The Vermont Chamber of Commerce, committed to advancing Vermont’s economy and representing businesses statewide, participated in a critical roundtable led by Senator Peter Welch to address the potential economic impact of proposed new tariffs. Vermont businesses, including manufacturers, farmers, and service providers, depend heavily on a strong trade relationship with Canada—Vermont’s largest trading partner. The Chamber views the maintenance of open markets and consistent trade policies as essential for economic stability and growth.

Potential tariffs, which could raise costs by 25% on raw materials, construction components, grain, and manufacturing inputs, pose significant risks to Vermont’s small businesses. The Vermont Chamber emphasized how such tariffs could lead to higher costs for essential goods and services, affecting businesses across sectors like agriculture, construction, and manufacturing. Without the capacity to absorb increased expenses, many businesses would be forced to pass these costs on to consumers, exacerbating the state’s affordability challenges and affecting the financial well-being of Vermont families.

As the Vermont Chamber continues its advocacy efforts, it remains focused on promoting policies that maintain economic growth while protecting Vermont businesses from financial instability. Working closely with state and federal leaders, the Vermont Chamber will strive to ensure that Vermont’s economic ecosystem remains resilient, with an emphasis on preventing harmful impacts from sudden cost increases and supporting long-term investment in workforce and community development.

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Healthcare Rises to Top, but the Roadmap to Solutions Remains Unclear

Healthcare Rises to the Top, but the Roadmap to Solutions Remains Unclear

Last year’s staggering 19% increase in commercial health insurance rates remains top of mind for businesses as affordability priorities are debated in Montpelier. These rising costs have compounded challenges for employers already struggling to absorb double-digit increases in property taxes, the payroll tax, and a variety of new regulations from the past year.

Following Governor Scott’s budget address, Speaker Jill Krowinski emphasized healthcare as a critical factor in the affordability conversation that requires action this year. This week, a new coalition, VHC911, emerged, calling on the legislature and administration to address healthcare reform. At a press conference, the group highlighted Vermont’s commercial insurance costs compared to neighboring states but did not propose specific policy solutions. If the current state of housing and education finance has made anything clear, it’s that inaction on growing issues can lead to dire consequences.

As the House Health Care Committee and Senate Health and Welfare Committee explore solutions, several opportunities for progress remain. Legislators, administration officials, and healthcare leaders must collaborate to develop a balanced reform plan. Additionally, bold and innovative workforce solutions are needed to address the demographic and labor shortages affecting not only healthcare but all industries in Vermont.

As discussions continue, the Vermont Chamber will advocate for solutions that balance affordability, access, and sustainability in Vermont’s healthcare system.

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Governor Scott’s Budget: Fixing Systems, Not Just Funding Them

Governor Scott’s Budget: Fixing Systems, Not Just Funding Them

Governor Phil Scott delivered his budget address on Tuesday, presenting a $9 billion spending plan focused on education reform, housing expansion, and public safety—without increasing taxes or fees. Emphasizing the need for long-term structural fixes rather than temporary funding patches, the Governor underscored the importance of making Vermont more affordable and competitive for businesses and working families. His priorities align closely with the Vermont Chamber’s legislative agenda, which advocates for affordability, workforce development, and strategic economic growth.

Fixing Education

With Vermont spending $2.4 billion annually on education while student outcomes remain inconsistent, the Governor proposed a major overhaul. His plan includes consolidating school administration into five regional districts to improve efficiency, standardizing student funding and teacher salaries, and expanding career training programs to better prepare students for the workforce. To prevent a projected 6% property tax increase, he proposed using $77 million from the General Fund—aligning with the Chamber’s focus on fiscal responsibility and affordability.

Building Housing That Supports Workforce Growth

Vermont needs at least 7,000 additional housing units to meet demand, support employers, and sustain economic growth. The budget fully funds the Vermont Housing and Conservation Board with $37 million and provides $4 million for the Vermont Housing Improvement Program to help small-scale landlords bring units to market faster. Additionally, a one-time $40 million investment in water, sewer, and stormwater infrastructure will unlock stalled housing projects. These measures support the Chamber’s call for workforce housing solutions that directly address Vermont’s labor shortage.

Strengthening Public Safety for Businesses

Rising crime rates, including a 40% increase in aggravated assaults and a doubling of retail theft since 2018, have significantly impacted downtown businesses. The budget proposes tougher sentencing for repeat offenders, increased funding for pre-trial supervision, and expanded addiction recovery services. These steps align with the Chamber’s advocacy for policies that create safe, vibrant economic hubs for businesses and communities.

Investing in Infrastructure & Economic Resilience

The budget allocates $858 million for roads, bridges, and public transit, expands Downtown and Village Center Tax Credits by $2 million, and creates a new disaster recovery fund to provide immediate relief for businesses impacted by natural disasters. With a $15 million investment in Efficiency Vermont, the state aims to support climate resilience without raising costs for ratepayers—an approach that dovetails with the Chamber’s focus on sustainable economic growth.

A Shared Vision for Vermont’s Economic Future

Governor Scott’s message was clear: Vermont must fix broken systems, not just fund them. His budget priorities reflect many of the Vermont Chamber’s legislative goals—fiscal responsibility, workforce development, housing expansion, and public safety improvements. As the legislative session unfolds, the Chamber will continue working to ensure that policies promote long-term economic stability, business competitiveness, and a high quality of life for all Vermonters.

A complete transcript of the Governor’s budget address can be found here.

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Intern Spotlight: Carl J. Barton

Intern Spotlight: Carl J. Barton

Name: Carl J. Barton

College: Saint Michael’s College

Field of Study: Majors in Political Science and Business Administration; Minors in Psychology and Criminology

Anticipated Graduation: 2027

Hometown: Grafton, New Hampshire 

What past or current experiences have prepared you for your internship with the Vermont Chamber of Commerce?

I was Student Government President all through high school, with that trend continuing into college. I had a part-time job with a law firm, took various political science courses and was involved in Model UN.

What are you most looking forward to/what do you enjoy the most as part of your internship experience? What skills are you developing?

I’m excited to network and collaborate with different members of legislation and community leaders across Vermont, as well as experience a true government position from a personal viewpoint. Furthermore, I’m currently strengthening my skills of interpreting important information and analyzing it to see long term effects and nuances of that information.

What are your plans for after college?

After college, I’m interested in possibly attending law school or pursuing an experience in legislation of some kind!

Anything else that potential employers should know about you?

I consistently work to make sure whatever is needed of me is completed and strive to exceed expectations.

Contact Info:  

cbarton@mail.smcvt.edu

https://www.linkedin.com/in/carlbarton/

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Small Group and Individual Health Care Markets to Remain Unmerged

Small Group and Individual Health Care Markets to Remain Unmerged

The House Health Care Committee has taken a critical step to protect small businesses from absorbing the higher costs associated with the individual health insurance market by ensuring the small group and individual markets remain permanently unmerged.

This issue has been a focus of the Vermont Chamber for several years. In prior sessions, the Vermont Chamber helped advocate for the markets to remain unmerged, as long as enhanced federal subsidies were available to stabilize the individual market. With those subsidies set to expire in 2025, the markets were scheduled to merge this year, which would have resulted in even higher premium increases for small businesses.

Testimony from the Department of Vermont Health Access, health care organizations, and the Vermont Chamber emphasized the importance of maintaining this separation. Keeping the markets separate helps protect small businesses from potential rate increases caused by the individual market, providing an upside in an otherwise difficult year for health insurance premiums.

The committee unanimously supported H. 35, which codifies the unmerged markets. Their swift action demonstrates a strong commitment to protecting Vermont’s small businesses and their ability to offer quality health insurance.

The Chamber will continue monitoring the progress of H. 35 through the House and into the Senate, advocating for solutions that support Vermont’s business community. Though this is an important step, a considerable amount of work remains to be done do if health care costs are to be addressed this year.

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Revenue Forecast: Vermont’s Resilient Economy and Emerging Challenges

Revenue Forecast: Vermont’s Resilient Economy and Emerging Challenges

The Emergency Board met this week to review the Consensus Economic Forecast, which showcased Vermont’s strong but shifting economic landscape. Productivity remains high, supported by record-breaking stock market performance and 48 consecutive months of job growth. Workforce mobility continues to shape the labor market, with approximately 10,000 workers moving into and out of the state annually. While this activity brings opportunities, it also presents challenges for labor market stability.

State revenues are slightly above expectations, with Fiscal Year 2025 estimates showing overall collections 3.7% higher than projected. However, performance varies across major funding streams:

  • General Fund: Revenues exceeded expectations by 6.0%, driven by strong personal income and corporate tax collections.
  • Education Fund: A 2.1% shortfall stems from weaker sales and use taxes, meals and rooms taxes, and declining lottery revenues.
  • Transportation Fund: Revenues were 2.7% above estimates, bolstered by strong vehicle purchase activity.

Certain tax streams produced mixed results. The Childcare Payroll Tax fell behind expectations, while the Property Transfer Tax exceeded projections. Revenue from cigarette and e-cigarette sales declined but was partially offset by growth in nicotine pouches.

Adjustments to Vermont’s tax system also revealed uneven outcomes:

  • Sales & Use Tax: Expanding the tax to include sectors like cloud-based services underperformed expectations.
  • Short-Term Rental Surcharge: Marginally below projections.
  • Motor Vehicle Purchase & Use Tax: Surpassed targets due to pent-up demand and tariff concerns.

National trends add further complexity. A reliance on federal stimulus funds has temporarily supported Vermont’s economy, but as those funds taper off, pressure mounts for sustainable fiscal solutions. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding potential inflation, interest rates, and tax reforms under the incoming federal administration could impact the state’s economic trajectory.

The ongoing legislative session provides a critical opportunity to adjust fiscal priorities and prepare for these challenges. Vermont businesses should stay engaged in policy discussions to ensure their voices are heard. The next revenue update, scheduled for July, will offer further insight into the state’s fiscal outlook.

This forecast highlights both opportunities and uncertainties for Vermont’s business community, reinforcing the importance of adaptability and collaboration in navigating the state’s economic future.

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Vermont Chamber Advocates for Economic Growth and Housing Solutions 

Vermont Chamber Advocates for Economic Growth and Housing Solutions

The Vermont Chamber advocacy team engaged with both House and Senate committees to outline priorities aimed at fortifying Vermont’s economy. Discussions centered on housing affordability, workforce challenges, regulatory reforms, technology, and positioning Vermont as a premier relocation destination. 

Tourism and manufacturing were highlighted as economic pillars, each contributing $3 billion annually and employing thousands of Vermonters. The Chamber’s Foundation, the Vermont Futures Project, was spotlighted for its focus on long-term economic planning, ensuring these critical sectors continue to drive statewide prosperity. 

Housing availability and affordability took center stage as a pressing concern. The Chamber will continue advocating for meaningful reforms to reduce construction costs, improve infrastructure, and expand access, emphasizing the importance of addressing Vermont’s demographic challenges and workforce gaps to sustain economic vitality. 

The Chamber emphasized the integral connection between business growth and wage growth, presenting data that reinforces the need for collaborative efforts to support businesses. Economic development remains a priority for the Vermont Chamber, and the team is poised to work alongside lawmakers to ensure businesses have the resources and environment necessary to thrive. 

To bolster advocacy efforts surrounding technology issues, the Vermont Chamber introduced attorney Josh Diamond from Dinse, who the Chamber has hired on retainer. With his extensive legal expertise and six years of experience as Vermont’s Deputy Attorney General, Josh will provide critical insights and representation for Vermont’s business community on emerging technology challenges. 

The team will do additional introductions next week and will dive into expert testimony on legislation. Through proactive collaboration with lawmakers, stakeholders, and industry leaders, the Vermont Chamber continues to champion policies that advance Vermont’s economy and enhance quality of life for all. 

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Laying the Groundwork for Education Finance Reform 

Laying the Groundwork for Education Finance Reform

Legislative committees discussed Vermont’s education finance system this week, emphasizing the complex ties between funding, governance, and education quality, and the need for reforms both to address these challenges and tackle high costs head on.  While awaiting the Governor’s proposed education finance reforms in the January 28 budget address, House and Senate committees reviewed the current funding system, its formula, and potential improvements. 

Elements of the Governor’s proposal were previewed by members of his administration and included simplifying tax structures, recalibrating the Common Level of Appraisal, and ensuring taxpayer capacity aligns with funding obligations. Testimonies from the Department of Taxes and the Agency of Education also emphasized the need for a more streamlined and transparent system. Proposals for statewide teacher contracts and construction aid policies further underscored the need for cohesive, statewide strategies that will reduce costs and increase affordability. 

One proposed funding formula, informed by models from states like Massachusetts and Maine, aims to establish a base funding amount per student, with adjustments for factors like school size, cost of living, and student needs. Legislators discussed implementing the formula in Vermont, focusing on the base amount, property taxes, and teacher compensation. 

Continued, focused dialogue among the legislature, educational leaders, and other stakeholders will be a priority this session. Addressing the large-scale systemic issues is crucial to reforming Vermont’s education system to ensure both affordability and sustainability. 

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Governor Phil Scott’s Inaugural Speech Echoes Vermont Chamber’s Priorities

Governor Phil Scott's Inaugural Speech Echoes Vermont Chamber’s Priorities
Governor Phil Scott pictured at a podium speaking at the 2025 inauguration

Governor Phil Scott’s inaugural address delivered a clear call to action on the most pressing challenges, including affordability, housing, education reform, and workforce sustainability. These priorities reflect significant overlap with the Vermont Chamber of Commerce’s ongoing advocacy efforts, emphasizing shared goals to strengthen Vermont’s economy and improve the quality of life for its residents. Keeping affordability and Vermont’s challenging demographics at the forefront, the address focused on:

  • Affordability and economic growth
  • Addressing the housing crisis
  • Student-centered education reforms
  • Moving forward together

Affordability and Economic Growth
A central theme of Governor Scott’s speech was Vermont’s need to tackle its affordability crisis. He noted the state’s reputation as a high-tax destination and emphasized that Vermont cannot afford to lose more residents due to rising costs. A vision of achieving affordability through economic growth rather than tax increases aligns with the Vermont Chamber’s emphasis on fostering business resilience and attracting new residents. Both aim to reduce the financial burdens facing Vermont’s families and businesses while expanding economic opportunities.

The Governor’s message of bolstering opportunities for working Vermonters and supporting local communities parallels the Chamber’s push for innovative workforce development solutions. Efforts to promote Vermont as a destination for skilled workers and investing in community development directly impact the other challenges facing Vermont. The economic impact of a shrinking workforce remains a key focus for the Vermont Futures Project, which continues to highlight the issue and provide valuable data to support solutions.

Housing: A Shared Priority
The Vermont Chamber has long advocated for increased housing supply by addressing root causes and barriers to development. Governor Scott echoed this urgent need, calling for the construction of 8,000 new homes annually—a figure Vermont is far from achieving. The speech advocated for treating housing development as an emergency by streamlining regulatory barriers, investing in infrastructure, and revitalizing workforce. Affordable housing for all incomes is critical to retaining employees, attracting new talent, and fostering economic growth.

Education: Tackling Costs and Improving Outcomes for Students
The Governor delivered a pointed critique of Vermont’s current education funding model, highlighting dramatic cost increases that outpace the value delivered. With the current expected 5.9% increase this year, property taxes will have increased by 33% over three years, a trend further compounded by increases in education-related revenue sources, many of which depend on taxes collected and remitted by the business community. These include 100% of sales tax revenue, one-third of purchase and use tax revenue, one-quarter of rooms and meals tax revenue, 100% of the new short-term rental surcharge, as well as lottery funds and general fund transfers. Despite these escalating costs, Vermont serves only 80,300 students across an “out of scale” education system with high administrative overhead and small class sizes.

Scott pledged to introduce a multi-year plan to overhaul the system focusing on a student-centered funding formula and a more efficient governance structure. This proposal includes streamlining administrative costs, rethinking local school board responsibilities, and implementing guardrails to ensure fiscal discipline. By addressing these systemic inefficiencies, the Governor aims to contain costs while improving outcomes—both of which are essential to Vermont’s economic future.
This approach complements the Vermont Chamber’s advocacy for critical cost-saving reforms that prioritize addressing root issues over simply increasing funding.

Moving Forward Together
Governor Scott’s speech reflected a shared vision with the Vermont Chamber: focusing on practical, long-term solutions to Vermont’s most significant challenges. From housing to affordability to workforce development, his priorities align with the Chamber’s commitment to advancing Vermont’s economy.

As the legislative session progresses, the Vermont Chamber will collaborate with lawmakers, the administration, and other stakeholders to achieve shared goals. The Governor, Speaker, and Pro Tem have all emphasized the importance of setting priorities, maintaining focus, and taking a collaborative approach. The Vermont Chamber will look for this commitment every day throughout the session, and expect all leadership to continue driving progress, delivering outcomes, and advocating for policies that support Vermont’s businesses and communities.

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State House Shakeup: Committee Assignments

Legislative Committees Take Shape

Top Leadership in the House and Senate will remain this session with the return of Senator Phil Baruth as Pro Tem and Representative Jill Krowinski as Speaker of the House. While there are many new committee chairs, those who oversee policy that impacts the business community will largely be familiar faces. As committee work gets underway, the Chairs will set the vision for the year ahead and clarify whether the priorities related to affordability, education, housing, and workforce are aligned.

In the Senate

  • Alison Clarkson (D-Windsor) will be the new chair of the Senate Committee on Economic Development, Housing, & General Affairs.
  • The Senate Committee on Finance will be chaired by Sen. Ann Cummings (D-Washington).

In the House

  • The Committee on Ways and Means, which oversees tax policy, will again be chaired by Rep. Emilie Kornheiser (D- Brattleboro).
  • The House Committee on Commerce and Economic Development has a returning chair, Rep. Michael Marcotte (R-Orleans/Lamoille).

Key Senate Committee Assignments  

Appropriations 
Andrew Perchlik, Chair, D/P-Washington
Pat Brennan, Vice Chair, R-Grand Isle
Richard Westman, R-Lamoille
Ginny Lyons, D-Chittenden
Philip Baruth, D/P-Chittenden
Anne Watson, D/P-Washington
Robert Norris, R-Franklin

Economic Development, Housing, and General Affairs 
Alison Clarkson, Chair, D-Windsor
Randy Brock, Vice Chair, R-Franklin
Kesha Ram Hinsdale, D-Chittenden
Thomas Chittenden, D-Chittenden
David Weeks, R-Rutland

Finance 
Ann Cummings, Chair, D-Washington
Thomas Chittenden, Vice Chair, D-Chittenden
Ruth Hardy, D-Addison
Martine Larocque Gulick, D-Chittenden
Randy Brock, R-Franklin
Scott Beck, R-Caledonia
Chris Mattos, R-Chittenden

Natural Resources and Energy 
Anne Watson, Chair, D/P-Washington
Terry Williams, Vice Chair, R-Rutland
Ruth Hardy, D-Addison
Seth Bongartz, D-Bennington
Scott Beck, R-Caledonia

Key House Committee Assignments

Appropriations 
Robin Scheu, Chair, D-Addison
James Harrison, Vice Chair, R-Rutland
Tiffany Bluemle, Ranking Member, D-Chittenden
Michael Nigro, D-Bennington
Trevor Squirrell, D-Chittenden
John Kascenska, R-Essex/Caledonia
Lynn Dickinson, R-Franklin
Wayne Laroche, R-Franklin
David Yacovone, D-Lamoille/Washington
Thomas Stevens, D-Washington/Chittenden
Mike Mrowicki, D-Windham

Commerce & Economic Development 
Michael Marcotte, Chair, R-Orleans/Lamoille
Edye Graning, Vice Chair, D-Chittenden
Kirk White, Ranking Member, D/P-Windsor/Addison
Herb Olson, D-Addison
Jonathan Cooper, D-Bennington
Tony Micklus, R-Chittenden/Franklin
Abbey Duke, D-Chittenden
Monique Priestley, D-Orange
Dave Bosch, R-Rutland
Michael Boutin, I-Washington
Emily Carris Duncan, D-Windham

Energy and Digital Infrastructure 
Kathleen James, Chair, D-Windham
Scott Campbell, Vice Chair, D-Caledonia/Essex
Laura Sibilia, Ranking Member, I-Windham
Richard Bailey, R-Lamoille
Christopher Howland, R-Rutland
Bram Kleppner, D-Chittenden
Christopher Morrow, D-Windham/Windsor/Bennington
Michael Southworth, R-Caledonia
Dara Torre, D-Washington

Environment
Amy Sheldon, Chair, D-Addison
Larry Labor, Vice Chair, R-Essex/Orleans
Larry Satcowitz, Ranking Member, D-Orange/Washington/Addison
Sarita Austin, D-Chittenden
John Bartholomew, D-Windsor
Ela Chapin, D-Washington
Kate Logan, P/D-Chittenden
Kristi Morris, D-Windsor
Rob North, R-Addison
Chris Pritchard, R-Rutland/Bennington
Mike Tagliavia, R-Orange

House General & Housing 
Marc Mihaly, Chair, D-Washington
Ashley Bartley, Vice Chair, R-Franklin
Emilie Krasnow, Ranking Member, D-Chittenden
Elizabeth Burrows, D/P-Windsor
Tom Charlton, R-Windsor/Windham
Leonora Dodge, D-Chittenden
Debbie Dolgin, R-Caledonia/Essex
Mary Howard, D-Rutland
Saudia LaMont, D-Lamoille/Washington
Joseph Parsons, R-Orange/Caledonia
Gayle Pezzo, D-Chittenden

Ways and Means
Emilie Kornheiser, Chair, D-Windham
William Canfield, Vice Chair, R-Rutland
Charles Kimbell, Ranking Member, D-Windsor
Carolyn Branagan, R-Franklin
Bridget Burkhardt, D-Chittenden
Martha Feltus, R-Caledonia
Mark Higley, R-Orleans/Lamoille
Rebecca Holcombe, D-Windsor/Orange
James Masland, D-Windsor/Orange
Carol Ode, D-Chittenden
Teddy Waszazak, D-Washington

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